Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.024355 0.026300 0.028329 0.030604 0.033087 0.035716 0.038713
2025-11-23 0.021165 0.023955 0.027022 0.030651 0.034836 0.039524 0.045188
2025-11-30 0.018905 0.022150 0.025858 0.030423 0.035915 0.042334 0.050446
2025-12-07 0.017262 0.020795 0.024960 0.030258 0.036853 0.044841 0.055319
2025-12-14 0.015913 0.019627 0.024122 0.030000 0.037537 0.046951 0.059710
2025-12-21 0.014943 0.018820 0.023624 0.030066 0.038549 0.049444 0.064658
2025-12-28 0.014014 0.017981 0.023003 0.029887 0.039175 0.051407 0.068961
2026-01-04 0.013260 0.017308 0.022531 0.029842 0.039929 0.053531 0.073559
2026-01-11 0.012655 0.016784 0.022210 0.029954 0.040866 0.055915 0.078624
2026-01-18 0.012087 0.016270 0.021861 0.029987 0.041667 0.058119 0.083529
2026-01-25 0.011631 0.015879 0.021650 0.030183 0.042686 0.060662 0.089056
2026-02-01 0.011051 0.015281 0.021111 0.029871 0.042931 0.062061 0.092915
2026-02-08 0.010423 0.014604 0.020453 0.029387 0.042949 0.063207 0.096596
2026-02-15 0.009959 0.014139 0.020079 0.029303 0.043567 0.065302 0.101938
2026-02-22 0.009489 0.013640 0.019625 0.029065 0.043921 0.066992 0.106723
2026-03-01 0.009077 0.013206 0.019240 0.028904 0.044372 0.068843 0.111874
2026-03-08 0.008675 0.012765 0.018820 0.028658 0.044662 0.070431 0.116666
2026-03-15 0.008380 0.012470 0.018607 0.028721 0.045443 0.072855 0.123048
2026-03-22 0.008050 0.012105 0.018263 0.028551 0.045822 0.074614 0.128360
2026-03-29 0.007771 0.011806 0.018008 0.028508 0.046403 0.076736 0.134457
2026-04-05 0.007543 0.011577 0.017851 0.028614 0.047235 0.079328 0.141588
2026-04-12 0.007312 0.011333 0.017658 0.028645 0.047932 0.081713 0.148485
2026-04-19 0.007127 0.011154 0.017560 0.028832 0.048905 0.084640 0.156622